Writing

Short essays, notes, and threads on judgment and sensemaking.

Most decision failures don't happen at execution.
They happen earlier — at interpretation.

You can not see your own signal

January 20, 2026502 words

The Prophecy Trap

January 20, 2026536 words

The Timing Problem with Self-Knowledge

January 20, 2026769 words

How am I landing?

January 20, 2026458 words

The Self-Data Problem

January 20, 2026492 words

Personality is what you have. Perception is what you spend.

January 20, 2026518 words

Sometimes You Just Need Someone to Tell You You Are Not Crazy

January 20, 2026562 words

Prescriptive Advice vs Terrain-Revealing

January 20, 2026466 words

The middle of decision-making used to be valuable

January 20, 2026449 words

Decision support has two halves

January 20, 2026406 words

You have done the research

January 20, 2026361 words

You have been sitting on this decision for weeks.

January 20, 2026629 words

We are in an AI World Now

January 20, 2026501 words

There Is No Freedom Without Belonging

January 20, 2026328 words

Information Does Not Lead to Better Decisions

January 20, 2026275 words